Pre-tourney Rankings
Idaho St.
Big Sky
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#276
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#246
Pace73.9#89
Improvement+4.2#28

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#286
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#333
Layup/Dunks-2.1#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#115
Freethrows+0.4#147
Improvement+0.4#167

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#258
First Shot-2.0#232
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#282
Layups/Dunks+1.2#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#291
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement+3.8#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 20, 2015 169   @ Washington St. L 67-85 18%     0 - 1 -15.6 -8.6 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2015 191   @ Denver L 69-79 21%     0 - 2 -9.0 -1.3 -8.1
  Nov 27, 2015 26   @ Utah L 72-102 2%     0 - 3 -12.9 -1.5 -8.1
  Dec 05, 2015 330   @ Lamar L 70-82 59%     0 - 4 -21.6 -9.9 -11.4
  Dec 08, 2015 203   @ Portland W 66-65 24%     1 - 4 +1.1 -8.3 +9.4
  Dec 12, 2015 282   Utah Valley L 76-100 63%     1 - 5 -34.8 -10.6 -21.8
  Dec 21, 2015 158   North Dakota St. L 62-67 23%     1 - 6 -4.6 -12.3 +8.1
  Dec 22, 2015 133   @ Utah St. L 58-69 12%     1 - 7 -5.8 -11.8 +5.1
  Dec 23, 2015 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-64 79%     2 - 7 -3.9 -4.5 +0.7
  Dec 29, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge W 84-79 51%     3 - 7 -2.5 +2.5 -5.4
  Jan 02, 2016 146   @ Weber St. L 56-77 15%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -17.1 -16.1 +0.0
  Jan 07, 2016 310   Northern Colorado W 83-78 70%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -7.9 -5.7 -2.6
  Jan 09, 2016 200   North Dakota L 76-84 42%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -13.3 -5.9 -6.6
  Jan 14, 2016 278   @ Sacramento St. L 71-82 39%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -15.6 -8.0 -6.9
  Jan 16, 2016 259   @ Portland St. W 73-70 34%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -0.2 -2.5 +2.3
  Jan 23, 2016 146   Weber St. W 69-68 30%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -0.9 -1.8 +1.0
  Jan 28, 2016 342   Southern Utah W 87-68 83%     7 - 10 4 - 3 +1.7 +2.3 -0.8
  Jan 30, 2016 345   Northern Arizona W 88-66 84%     8 - 10 5 - 3 +4.2 +4.4 -0.9
  Feb 04, 2016 200   @ North Dakota L 60-76 23%     8 - 11 5 - 4 -15.5 -13.5 -1.2
  Feb 06, 2016 310   @ Northern Colorado W 90-57 49%     9 - 11 6 - 4 +25.9 +13.0 +13.8
  Feb 11, 2016 259   Portland St. W 88-71 56%     10 - 11 7 - 4 +8.0 -0.1 +6.2
  Feb 13, 2016 278   Sacramento St. W 66-64 62%     11 - 11 8 - 4 -8.5 -10.9 +2.4
  Feb 18, 2016 345   @ Northern Arizona L 68-81 67%     11 - 12 8 - 5 -25.0 -12.7 -11.9
  Feb 20, 2016 342   @ Southern Utah W 89-71 66%     12 - 12 9 - 5 +6.5 -1.8 +6.3
  Feb 25, 2016 153   Montana L 77-90 31%     12 - 13 9 - 6 -15.1 +2.0 -17.0
  Feb 27, 2016 252   Montana St. W 76-69 54%     13 - 13 10 - 6 -1.4 -1.5 +0.4
  Mar 03, 2016 205   @ Eastern Washington W 75-71 24%     14 - 13 11 - 6 +4.1 -7.5 +11.3
  Mar 05, 2016 217   @ Idaho L 68-82 25%     14 - 14 11 - 7 -14.5 -3.2 -11.3
  Mar 10, 2016 200   North Dakota L 49-83 32%     14 - 15 -36.4 -26.8 -6.9
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%